Speculatron Foolishness in the COVID-19 Era: Saturday Political Soap Box 246

I haven't done a speculatron in a while, even with an election approaching.  It seems kind of foolish in the COVID-19 era to try to predict our political future.  It's also hard to do but look with jaw-dropped horror how low Trump can go and still garner support from anyone, anywhere.

Well, I'll give it a try, anyways.  Sometimes, my middle name is foolishness, so..here it goes - 

Who will Biden pick as his running mate?

I don't care.  There's no one on that above list, or any list I've seen who I can't get behind and enthusiastically support.  He's going to pick a woman.  And he has a plethora of good, viable candidates to pick from.

He needs to pick someone he can work with, assign responsibilities to, whose advice he can rely on, who can step in and be President at a moment's notice.

SMART MONEY:  Senator Kamala Harris of California.  She's tough and experienced, a good debater, and a practical legislator.  Her name and record, and ability to generate support, including financial is proven.

NEW MONEY:  Karen Bass, Congresswoman from California.  Not as much is as known about her as some of the others, but she was Speaker of the California State Assembly, a substantial position in a state and economy larger than most nations on Earth.  She is currently chairman of the Congressional Black Caucus.

SIDE MONEY:  Susan Rice, Former UN Ambassador, and National Security Expert.  Super intelligent, and someone who works well with Biden.

BEST MONEY:  Elizabeth Warren, Senator from Massachusetts.  There is no one in the country more qualified and better able to work as Vice President than Elizabeth or to step into the Presidency if needed.  Since dropping out, she and Biden have gotten along very well and have used her to help in policy formation.

So who it will be?  I don't know.  As far as I'm concerned, he can't go wrong.  The frontrunner is Senator Harris, but I think any of those pictured are possible.

Who will win the election?

Ok, let me get down on my hands and knees for this one.

It better be Biden.  I can't picture what this country or planet will be like if Trump continues in office.

At this point, here's my prediction:

Biden 56%, Trump 42%, Others 2%

I'm too lazy to work out the Electoral College Map right now - maybe in a later post - but in general, I think Biden will exceed 400 Electoral College votes.  His win will be larger than even Obama's were, but not quite as large as '72 Nixon (520 to 17) or '84 Reagan (523 to 13).

You would think that would be enough to make me happy.  But, no.  I am ashamed that there is anyone in this country who would consider voting for Trump.  I don't care how conservative you are, or how much you hate the "libtards." Trump is not a fit leader.  He is not a decent human being.  

Who will win the Senate?

I'd love to think a landslide of the level of what I'm expecting would be enough to pull along the Senate, but people are strange.  So I'm not sure.  Without a race by race analysis, my gut instinct is...

Democrats (including Independents who caucus with them) 52, Republicans (including whatever the hell Rand Paul is) 48.

Democrats will retain the house.  The margin may change a few votes, plus or minus, but the Democrats will retain control.

What will Trump do if he loses the election?

Here's where my opinion diverges from most others.

He may or may not try to hold onto power.  If he does, he will fail.

What he will do is resign from office, probably before Thanksgiving.  Why?  Because President Pence will then grant him what every turkey wants at Thanksgiving - a full pardon.

If he's still hounded by state or local prosecution, he might have a deluxe suite waiting for him in Moscow. 

He will invest heavily in Trump TV, broadcasting his lunacy to his small but rabid base.  He will, with his buddies (foreign and domestic) take over the OAN network (One America News Network).

He will remain an irritating but less relevant voice.

The good news is, though -

He won't be in power anymore.

And a majority of Americans will remember what it was like when he was.