The above is a sample map. It's nothing to do with my projection, but it shows the delusion level that can be found in the carefully crafted Facebook Trumplandia.
This is my final speculation for the 2020 election.
State and Local Races
Yes, Democrats will gain in State legislatures and Governorships. The Governor gains will be modest, perhaps just one or two, but the legislative bodies' shifts should be more impressive. I think that Democrat will increase almost everywhere and gain legislative control in two to four additional states.
House of Representatives
Since the Democrats made such significant gains in 2018, it will be hard for them to make another dramatic increase. Nevertheless, I see the Democratic majority increasing slightly.
Current 116th Congress
Democrats 232 Republicans 197 Open 6
Projected 117th Congress
Democrats 242 Republicans 193
An estimated gain of 10. More importantly, the AOC-led Progressive Caucus (the Squad) will increase in size. This will help them have a larger influence over legislation. They're going to get harder and harder for Nancy Pelosi to ignore.
United States Senate
The Democrats will regain control of the Senate. Yes, they will.
The composition of the current Senate includes two independents that caucus with the Democrats, as will the projected numbers.
Current Senate
Democrats 47 Republicans 53
Projected Senate
Democrats 54 Republicans 46
Yes, to get to this, I have a lot of things breaking the Democrat's way. But I really feel that's where we're going. I'm even optimistic that Georgia will gain one, possibly two, Democratic Senators.
Special note to my fellow Georgians: if there are runoffs in one or both of our Senate races, YOU HAVE TO SHOW BACK UP AND VOTE AGAIN. This is vital to the future of Georgia AND the country.
The Presidency of the United States of America
This is not my final map. Technology skills failed me in downloading my own map, but it's fairly close.
Biden 413 Trump 125
My version has North Carolina and one district in Nebraska going blue and Indiana going red. Those are the differences.
Biden will exceed Trump's vote total by 7 to 9 million. His vote percentage will exceed Trump by 7.3 to 7.8%.
Is this optimistic? Oh, I'm sure it is.
Is this as delusional as the Trump version at the top of this blog? No. This is based on real polling trends and my own judgment that the trend lines all favor Biden. There has always been more of us than them, and I think we're finally showing up in significant numbers. Trump has worn out his welcome.
Notes of caution: Republican voter suppression efforts are massive and often supported by the Republican-stacked courts. And there is also the possibility of hackers breaking into election systems.
These concerns are much more important in a close election.
This will not be a close election.
Trump will squaller and complain, but in the end, I feel he will exit early, like the coward he is. He will resign around Thanksgiving, like gifting America an extra turkey,
He will leave under the condition that President Mike Pence gives him a blanket pardon. This will not cover state crimes, so there is an excellent chance he will move to a country that won't accede to extraditing him. Nevertheless, he will buy out or control the network OAN (One America News Network) and will continue to incite hatred and violence as long as he is able.
What happens beyond that? I'll leave that to another speculatron.
Please note that in past speculatrons, I have been reasonably accurate, but I do tend to exaggerate Democratic Party results. That being said, yes, this will either be a Blue Wave or a Blue Tsunami.
Buckle up, Trumpeteers. It's going to be a bumpy ride.
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