Saturday, February 29, 2020

Battle of the Septuagenarians! Saturday Political Soap Box 238




Hokey Smokes!

When did our election turn into

The Battle
Joe Biden, 77
Update:  The man who has never won a primary finally won one in South Carolina.  The corporate media is wetting all over itself in excitement.

Of
Bernie Sanders, 78
Update:  THe problem for Bernie is not that the state that ALWAYS upholds the establishment candidate**  stunningly upheld the establishment candidate.  No, his problem is that he was supposed to be adding people of color to his base of support.  And in South Carolina, he did not.  All the press caterwauling aside, this is the true danger sign for him, and for the progressive movement in general.

the Septuagenarians!!!*
Mike Scrooge McDuck Bloomberg, 78


Hoe did the most important political contest of our lives turn into a battle between old white guys?  

Weren't we supposed to be turning a page to a new kind and age of politics?  Shouldn't the Millenials start picking up the ball, and start to straighten the mess the Baby Boomers have created?

What the hell happened?

WAIT!
What about these people?
Pete Buttigieg, 38

Ok, maybe this one is too young.  But, hey, maybe he has already accumulated a lot of experience, with positions in state and national governance.  Ok...well, it's the thought that counts.

Update:  Buttigieg now has an opportunity for the next four years to garner that experience.  His strategic withdrawal just before Super Tuesday was to curry favor with Biden and corporate Democrats and put a final shiv to Bernie Sanders.  Oh, well.  Politics ain't bean bag.


Amy Klobuchar, 59

Hey, the Goldilocks candidate! The one whose age is just right!  Too bad her politics is not appealing to progressives and/or people of color.  Oh, well....can't have everything!

Update:  I believe she is staying in solely to dampen down Bernie's vote in Minnesota.  After Super Tuesday, she will withdraw posthaste, either explicitly or implicitly endorsing Biden.


Elizabeth Warren, 70

Oh, crap!  My favorite candidate is a...

Septuagenarian!

Ok, well, at least she's Septuagenarian Lite.  And a female.  And whip-smart.  And high energy.  And with plenty of new ideas.

Update:  She raised $29 million in February, some of it from me.  Please don't quit.  I beg of you.  Please don't.  Your voice is needed.


And waiting on the other side...


Donald Twitter from the John Trump, 73

Representing Septuagenarian, Maroon Division,

Our Narcissistic, Racist, Would Be Dictator and beloved Conman,

President Warm Weather Will Kill the Beer Virus Donald J Trump


*septuagenarian is someone between the ages of 70 to 79.

**Barack Obama in 2008 was a slight exception to this rule.



Thursday, February 27, 2020

Pandemic Possibilities



Fear of the Coronavirus is spreading faster than the virus itself.  Are we right to be scared?


Maybe.

It's been just over a century (1918) since Spanish influenza killed upwards of 50 million people worldwide. Since that time, medicine has made considerable progress in combatting many diseases and threats.  But it can't solve everything.  And we haven't advanced enough to altogether remove ourselves from mother nature.

So, I don't know.  Some recent signs show it may be spreading in ways that cannot be controlled.  A case yesterday appeared in California out of the blue, with no connection to travel or other primary contacts.

This could peter out on its own.  It may hit a maximum expansion rate. There is some evidence that the exponential growth rate in China is slowing.  Or it may be just their reporting.  In any case, the number of cases across the globe is still growing, encompassing all continents except Antarctica (according to the President warm weather kills it - so, hey, Antarctica - you're in the clear! Thank you, global warming!).

Or it could continue to spread.  Maybe it will become universal - virtually everyone on the planet gets it.  Unlike Captain Trips in Stephen King's novel, The Stand, where the fatality was 98% or more, the fatality rate of the Coronavirus is around 2%.  That's better, right?


That's 140 million people.  The same rate that caused such traumatic events in the television series The Leftovers, where 2% of the Earth's population vanished.

But there's no need to fear!  Tumplethinskins has put Vice President Mike 'Handmaid's Tale' Pence in charge!



Yes.  All that, and Pence is also devoted to end-times theology.

What could possibly go wrong?

I pray that this has peaked and will pass.

But we need to listen to the voices of experts on how to deal with a potential pandemic.

Not those who are just trying to cover their own ass and are more interested in the stock market than people.










Saturday, February 22, 2020

The Great Debate! Saturday Political Soap Box 237


The Great Debate gnawing at the Democratic Party!

No, I'm not talking about the donnybrook debate that occurred this week in Nevada.  Although that was a lively and I would say necessary debate.  Kumbaya and milquetoast centrism ain't gonna win the day over Trump.   And the takedown of Republican Billionaire buy-in Bloomberg was absolutely mandatory. Elizabeth Warren did a magnificent job of eviscerating him.  Her stellar debate performance pushed her back into the frontlines of the contest, just as the mainstream media was preparing to write her off.

No, this is about the great debate on how to defeat the greatest threat to American democracy we have ever seen - narcissistic racist con-man President Donald J Trump.

The two main approaches are -

1) We need to hew close to the center (or center-right if we can stand it) in the hopes of pulling in disaffected Republicans

This strategy emphasizes fuzzy or non-existant positions in order not to turn off the mythical marginal voter, the ones who are basically conservative but don't like a few of Trump's tweets.

Some approaches to this believe that superior experience will win the day, whether it's Biden's nostalgic to the better days of Barack Obama, or Klobuchar's hard-nosed pragmatism. Another approach is Buttigieg's "Look!  Look! I'm new!  You know - like Obama was new!  I'm new without the edge - offering positions that are really not that far from what we have now!"

This approach reflects the fear that a more progressive candidate will scare voters off.  It also reflects a snakebit quality in running a person of color and/or a female candidate.  After all, didn't Trump beat a woman last time?  Maybe we should try something different.

2) Clear policy benefitting average Americans and massive voter turnout among the young and people of color will win the day

This strategy believes, at least as far as the white working-class goes, that policy benefitting them will win more of them than Republican Lite will.  It also feels like someone the young and people of color can enthusiastically support will drive turnout up and win the day.  And, yes.  There are a lot more of us than there are of them.  But they will turn out in droves every time.  We will not.  It's the great shame of American politics., and it has to change in order to save the country.

Sanders is approaching by lighting a fire and making strong stances that no one can mistake.  The dirty secret the mainstream media is not telling you is that he is increasing his base among non-white voters, and either has or is close to passing Biden. Waren is doing something similar, but not as loudly or as decisively as Sanders.  That may be a plus or a negative.  I guess it depends on how important a revolutionary stance is to you.


Ok, there may be a third approach, although there shouldn't be - we'll match your fake billionaire with our real billionaire, even if he's really a Republican.  This approach is so moronic and disgusting I don't even want to go into it.


Obviously, being an Independent Progressive, I believe strongly in the second approach over the first one.

Think the first approach will work?

Let's see.

Did it work for Gore?

Did it work for Kerry?

Did it work for Hilary Clinton?



That said,  I would agree with something valuable that Hilary said:



If we are going to take down Trump, we have to be united.  We're going to all have to unite and BE ENTHUSIASTIC.

It will take appeals to disaffected Republican voters, calling for a sense of decency and a restoration of constitutional values.

It will take clear positions that favor the average American over the wealthy and corporations that favor fair play and even playing fields over corruption and deep-pocket donors.

It will require massive turnout from the base and from people of color and the poor and disadvantaged, and everyone left out of the oligarchical and extremist forces that now control things.

Politics ain't beanbag.   I do not begrudge the Democratic candidates going after each other -  that's the nature of the game.  Primary voters and caucus-goers will decide who's gone too far, or who has not gone far enough.

Whoever the nominee is will have to weave together this coalition.  Who they pick as their running mate will be as crucial as it's ever been in American politics.

We need a ticket that will inspire people beyond their hatred of Trump, someone they want to see as President regardless of who the Republicans run.

And I believe that person is Elizabeth Warren.  She will need to adjust and win the support of both moderates and people of color (who run the gamut from conservative Democrat to Progressive Democrat).  She will need to choose a running mate carefully, but more than any other candidate, I believe she is capable of doing that.

She is smart, competent, empathetic, and able to work with others.  And as a special bonus -

What she did to Bloomberg is only a sample of how she will fillet Trump in a debate.

I can't wait!



UPDATE: Post Bernie Nevada Blowout

Why is the Nevada win by Bernie Sanders so important?

I'll give you three reasons:  Robert F Kennedy, Bill Clinton, and Barack Obama.

Because they put together the only coalition that counts in the successful election of a Democrat - they combined the white working class with the working class of people of color.

And that's what Bernie showed he can do in Nevada.  He reassembled the winning coalition that takes Democrats to the top.

In 2016, the biggest problem that Bernie had is that Hilary won among African American and Latino voters, even the ones who might otherwise identify as Progressive.

As Progressive voters grow in strength in the electorate, that has always been their biggest problem.  I really feared that Bernie had not solved that problem.  The first two states, Iowa and New Hampshire, gave no clue as they were very white states.  The Mainstream media mostly talked about the non-white vote as if it were a firewall for Biden.

The mainstream media, unsurprisingly, was wrong.  Bernie has won Latinos and is neck and neck with Biden on the African American vote.

The Democratic nominating process is not over.  Biden could still do well in South Carolina, perhaps leading to a revival on Super Tuesday.  Warren, despite her Nevada, finished, finished second in a national poll.  She has probably the best positions regarding issues of relevance to people of color (and all of us, really).

The other exciting thing that happened in Nevada, that gives me hope and encouragement, is that the workers of the Culinary Union defied their union leadership, who urged them not to vote for Bernie because he might take away their union-earned health care plan, and the workers voted for Bernie and Medicare For All anyways.  Why?  Because they wanted ALL workers to have excellent health care, not just a few select unions. Usually, health care voting as being supremely self-centered (forget everyone else - what's in it for ME?), so this patriotic act in support of all is very hopeful and impressive to me.

I still intend to vote for Warren in the March 24rth Georgia primary.  Nevertheless, I am very impressed with what Bernie did, and if he is the nominee, I will vote for him with great pride and hope.

































Wednesday, February 19, 2020

Baseball My Life



Ah, baseball!

The great American pastime.

I guess that's still true.  I don't hear baseball talked about as much.  It doesn't grab the watercooler conversation as much as football.  But it's still on the air, and there are 162 games a year to watch.  Ballparks are getting pricier and pricier, but I still think it's more accessible than most professional sports.

I liked baseball as a kid, but couldn't play it worth a lick.  I only remember hitting one ball past the infield, and that is immortalized in my story of third grade, Run, You Idiot, Run!  In neighborhood and school games, I used to be shunted off to deep right field, usually covered by a better, more agile player.

My deepest affection for baseball came in my love of the wealth of statistics the game created.  I joined a play-by-mail league centered around the board game Big League Manager.  Play-by-mail was as close as we came back then to online gaming. My assigned team was the Washington Senators. They were a horrible team, and I managed them horribly, but even the worst teams generated what I loved best - STATISTICS!

The league was managed by a Hispanic kid, around my age (about 13 or so), and he was fun to correspond with.  He was a real stereotype breaker, living in San Francisco and being a George Wallace fan. It takes a village, people.

1968 was a golden year for every Michigan resident and devout Detriot Tiger fan,  Their come from behind win in the World Series is the stuff of legends.  That glorious year (sports-wise, at least) is burned into my memory.  Little did I know at that time how rare those moments were, especially for Detriot sports fans.

I received my varsity letter for baseball.  What?  You said you couldn't hit or field, Tom!  How did you get a varsity letter?  Because my friend, my Freshman year, I was the statistician for the high school varsity baseball team.

As an adult, baseball has faded from my life.  I don't watch much sports on television, and baseball is very time-consuming.  I don't keep up with the stats anymore because I no longer get a daily paper, and the internet is too difficult to negotiate to find what I want.  If any of you know of a good stat site that is updated daily, please let me know.  Maybe I can bookmark it and try to keep up.

I have kept up enough to know that spring training is just around the corner.

Who knows?  Maybe I'll try to keep up this year.

At least enough to know how Al Kaline is doing this season.

Ok.  I may be further behind than I thought.

PLAY BALL!























Tuesday, February 18, 2020

Hanging In There Tuesday Tidbits


I'm trying.

Work is coming fast and furious.  I really need to finish this up and get on with it.

You can forget all those wonderful writing projects.  Plans and dreams must be put on hold.

I look back at past tax seasons, and I'm amazed at what I've done.  Musicals, blogging, writing chapters, going to events and meetings.

Now I feel lucky to get out of bed and focus enough to go to work.

The knee pain is not as bad as it was.  It has not gone away, it's just not as intense.  It's extended down the leg and now includes the foot.  Some over-the-counter pain relievers are helping a little, but they also cloud my mind. 

My major goal of being able to leave accounting behind me lies in ruins.  I volunteered to be our Church Treasurer, and it's much more than I imagined.  It is adding quite a bit to the time I spend each week in the accounting field.

---------------------------------------

Wow!  They were right! Advertising works!  You can win over people to the crappiest products if you make it sound sweet enough.  Let me make this as straightforward as I can -

Bloomberg is not a solution to the problem.  He is a symptom of the problem - that wealthy oligarchs can buy their way into power.

-------------------------------

I probably should have more topics, don't you think?


Parts of my lawn are starting to grow again.  I have no idea what I'm going to do about that.

------------------------------

Sorry.  Accidentally took a nap.

I really gotta go.


I miss routine.



























Saturday, February 15, 2020

The Vanishing Speculatron: Saturday Political Soap box 236



I used to do a feature within Saturday Political Soap Box called the Speculatron, where about once a quarter, I would speculate as to coming events in the political world.  I wasn't always accurate, but for the political buff in me, and my love of speculative fiction, it was a fun thing to do.

It's been a long time since I 've done one.

Why?

The future has been hard to face.  My usual long-term optimism has fled me, and I see fewer and fewer ways out of our current dilemma.  Problems are so severe that even the election of the very best we have to offer may not be enough to save us.

And it's becoming clearer and clearer that we may not elect our best.

I would love to project that the Democratic nominees will be a team of Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobuchar, or Warren/Kamela Harris.

I can't predict that.  Because it appears that I am totally out of synch with the Democratic primary voter.  Somewhere, somehow, the fear of Trump is so strong that we've turned our back on female candidates, and also people of color.  We're scared that these people will not be effective in running against Trump, that only a white candidate can draw the votes needed to win.

What poppycock and horse hockey.  Nothing could be further from the truth.

Women and people of color drive Trump crazy and cause hin to say more and more disgusting things.  His allies will not be able to contain themselves, and go too far, if not for the dedicated Trumpeteer, than for a significant majority of Americans.

This irrational decision of Democratic voters was driven home to me by an Iowa exit poll.  58% of Iowa Democratic caucus-goers were women, but even though they had two incredibly well-qualified women as candidates, they did not support either one in a significant way.  There was going to be no surge of sisterhood like there was for Hilary in 2016.

So my preferred outcome for 2016, female candidates for both President and Vice-President, look increasingly unlikely.

So, where then are we headed?

Bernie is the front runner right now.  I like Bernie.  Bernie is building support among non-whites now - did you know that?  Nah, the media doesn't report on that.  To be the nominee, he must show he can grow support beyond the base of his highly-dedicated supporters.  He not only has to achieve, but he also has to overachieve.  No one is going to let a Progressive be the nominee unless he is beating everyone else by significant margins,  He'll have to take not just the lion's share of the delegates, but a MAJORITY of the delegates.  Being slightly in front will not be enough to stop the large army of media and political pundits from savaging him.

Mayor Pete is a reasonably nice guy, and he has a chance to throw up enough smoke that people aren't sure whether he is Progressive or Corporate.  This may work for a while, but I don't know if he can keep it up.  I would feel a lot better about Mayor Pete if he had a bit more executive experience (statewide) and legislative experience behind him. 

Biden...I don't know what to say.  It's clear to me now, particularly from his Iowa Caucus night speech, and some other recent times I've heard him, that he has lost a step.  I still think he is highly qualified to be President, but he is a lousy campaigner and the most visibly aged of the candidates. I would not rule out a comeback - Super Tuesday has states with more diverse constituents, and most of them will know him primarily from ads and the great job he did as Obama's Vice President, rather than his town halls and campaign appearances.  It's not likely, but it's not out of the realm of possibility. 

I am Team Warren.  I make no excuses about that.  I will be with her until she withdraws.  She is not likely to leave before Super Tuesday, so that is who I am voting for.  It's dim for the home team, but nevertheless, we Warrenites persist.  She has the talent and abilities to be a first-rate President, and a greater ability to work with all sides than she has been given credit for.  Not only does she have to fight the current prejudice against female candidates, but she is being squeezed out from the Progressive vote by the loyalty to Bernie Sanders, and on the moderate side by the rise of Mayor Pete Buttigieg.

Klobuchar...she is far too conservative for me, but...I have to admit she is demonstrating the skill set to be a good President.  I find her the best of the moderates.  I wouldn't be overly thrilled if she got the nomination, but I would be comfortable with it.  She has to demonstrate an ability to win votes beyond her moderate base and pull in Progressives and people of color.  Her, in combination with Cory Booker, Kamala Harris, or Julian Castro, might be quite an exciting ticket.

Bloomberg...I find his candidacy very upsetting.  I can't talk about it, even write about it without getting overemotional.  Nominating him would signal our country's complete surrender to the wealthy oligarchs.  How any Democratic, of any stripe, could consider this super-rich Republican/Independent is far beyond my comprehension.

It's hard to speculate about what I fear.  And I fear a Bloomberg candidacy.  Would I vote for him over Trump?

I would vote for Ted Cruz over Trump.  I would vote for a ham sandwich over Trump.  So, yes, I would vote for Bloomberg over Trump.

But it would make me very sick to my stomach. I would not want to be the next person in the voting booth after me.  It might not be pretty or smell very good.

I haven't got to Trump and his accelerating march towards authoritarian fascism.  This is something else that is too disturbing to speculate on.  He has learned from his Senate acquittal.  He has learned he can get away with anything, and he won't be stopped.  God help us all.

Bottom line?

I can't accurately predict the Democratic nominee.  My hopes for a good outcome are too low, my fear of a bad outcome are too high.

Pushing me to make my best guess?

Klobuchar/Booker.

If it can't be Warren, that's the next best outcome I can project.

Please, just don't let it be Bloomberg.
























Thursday, February 13, 2020

The Event of the Season!




Don't miss the greatest event of the season!

Valentine's Dinner in a setting that will be et up with atmosphere, including romantic music played by Mike Taylor, candlelight and superb service, and delicious Italian food prepared by the finest chefs of Grace Episcopal!

Can't wait to see what salad breadsticks are!

Excuse me.  Sorry.  I've been told that's salad AND breadsticks.

Sounds awesome!

See you there!